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For the purposes of this report the size of the gear oil market has been estimated on the basis of strategic data on the vehicle fleet and assessment of per-vehicle, per-unit oil consumption, taking into account vehicle make, age, average annual mileage and service intervals. The report also provides a breakdown of the market into the following types of gear oils: automatic transmission fluid (ATF) oil, manual transmission fluid (MTF) oil and lubricants for axles and differentials. This approach makes the report one of a kind on the gear oil market since it provides the most accurate understanding of the volume and pattern of gear oil consumption in Russia.
The report covers in detail the following issues:
- Actual makeup of the Russian automotive vehicle fleet
- Trends and growth factors of the Russian vehicle fleet
- Actual gear oil consumption, both nationwide and in each of Russia’s constituent entities
- Automotive gear oil consumption broken down by car, tuck, commercial vehicle and bus
- Consumption of gear oil by groups: ATF, MTF, for axles and differentials
The ability to understand changes in oil consumption demand from automobile manufacturers and vehicle owners could help lubricant producers and distributors to develop accurate business plans to increase their product sales and adjust their product lines in order to rapidly respond to market changes ahead of the competition. The study, which provides segmentations by region and by type of vehicle, gives market players an opportunity to fine-tune their marketing strategies, timely build effective relationships with dealer networks and establish the most effective supply chain logistics.
The understanding of a midterm forecast for car fleet growth could help manufacturers not only select their lubricant production strategies but also evaluate their capabilities for entering other segments of the automotive consumables market.
Our in-depth, comprehensive study of this segment of the lubricants market could spur a more complex analysis of performance results by producers or distributors in the major regions of their operations.
1 Introduction
2 Main conclusions
3 Vehicle fleet. Trends, growth drivers, dynamics for 2010-2018
3.1. Passenger vehicle fleet
3.2. Truck fleet
3.2.1. Fleet of light commercial vehicles (LCV)
3.2.2. Truck fleet (CV and HCV)
3.3. Bus fleet
4 Consumption of gear oils by passenger cars in the regions of Russia
4.1. Gear oils for the existing passenger car fleet
4.2. Factory fill gear oils for passenger cars
4.3. Forecast of gear oil consumption for passenger cars
5 Consumption of gear oils by the truck fleet in the regions of Russia
5.1. Oils for light commercial vehicles (LCVs)
5.1.1. Gear oils for the current fleet of light commercial vehicles
5.1.2. Factory fill gear oils for light commercial vehicles
5.1.3. Oil consumption forecast for light commercial vehicles
5.2. Oils for commercial and heavy commercial vehicles (CVs and HCVs)
5.2.1. Gear oils for the current truck fleet
5.2.2. Factory fill gear oils for truck fleet
5.2.3. Oil consumption forecast for trucks
6 Consumption of gear oils by buses in the Russian regions
6.1. Gear oils for the current bus fleet
6.2. Factory fill gear oils for buses
6.3. Oil consumption forecast for buses
7 Demand for gear oils
7.1. Segmentation by types of transportation vehicles
7.2. Regional segmentation
7.3. Segmentation by types of gear oils
7.4. Demand forecast for gear oils until 2018
7.5. Gear oil consumption in Russia per vehicle
Figure 3.1. Shares of various types of transportation vehicles in the total Russian vehicle fleet as of Jan. 1,
2013, million units, % of total number of vehicles of all classes
Figure 3.2. Total vehicle fleet of the Russian Federation by federal districts as of Jan. 1, 2013, million
units, % of total number of vehicles of all classes
Figure 3.3. Passenger fleet by federal districts as of January 1, 2013, million units, %
Figure 3.4. Largest regional passenger vehicle fleets in Russia (top 20) as of January 1, 2013, thousand
units
Figure 3.5. Relative motorization rate per capita of the various federal districts of Russia as of January 1,
2013, units of passenger vehicles per thousand inhabitants
Figure 3.6. Largest constituent entities of the Russian Federation by mobilization rate per capita in Russia
(top 20) as of Jan. 1, 2013, passenger cars/thousand inhabitants
Figure 3.7. Passenger vehicle fleet by age structure as of Jan.1, 2013, million units, %
Figure 3.8. Fleet of passenger cars by brand structure as of Jan.1, 2013, million units, %
Figure 3.9. Dynamics of passenger car fleet by origin for 2010-2018, million units, %
Figure 3.10. LCV fleet by federal districts as of January 1, 2013, thousand units, %
Figure 3.11. Largest fleets of light commercial vehicles in Russia (top 20), as of Jan.1, 2013, thousand
units
Figure 3.12. Number of LCVs per capita, by federal districts of Russia, as of Jan.1, 2013, units of
commercial vehicles per thousand inhabitants
Figure 3.13. RF constituent entities with the largest indices for light commercial vehicles per capita (top
20) as of Jan.1, 2013, LCV units/thousand inhabitants
Figure 3.14. Fleet of commercial vehicles by age structure as of Jan.1, 2013, thousand units, %
Figure 3.15. Fleet of light commercial vehicles in terms of brand structure, as of Jan.1, 2013, thousand
units, %
Figure 3.16. Dynamics of LCV fleet by origin, thousand units, 2010-2018
Figure 3.17. CV and HCV fleet in terms of federal districts as of Jan.1, 2013, thousand units, %
Figure 3.18. Largest regional truck fleets in Russia (top 20), as of Jan.1, 2013, thousand units
Figure 3.19. Level of transport trucks per capita in various federal districts of Russia as of Jan.1, 2013,
units of trucks per thousand inhabitants
Figure 3.20. RF constituent entities with the largest number of trucks per capita (top 20), as of Jan 1,
2013, units of trucks per thousand inhabitants
Figure 3.21. Truck fleet by age structure, as of Jan.1, 2013, thousand units, %
Figure 3.22. Truck fleet in terms of brand structure as of Jan.1, 2013, thousand units, %
Figure 3.23. Truck fleet dynamics in terms of origin in 2010-2018, thousand units, %
Figure 3.24. Bus fleet in terms of federal districts, as of Jan.1, 2013, units, %
Figure 3.25. Largest regional bus fleets in Russia (top 20), as of Jan. 1, 2013, thousand units
Figure 3.26. Buses per capita in various federal districts of Russia, as of Jan. 1, 2013, bus units per
thousand inhabitants
Figure 3.27. RF constituent entities with the largest number of buses per capita (top 20), as of Jan.1, 2013,
bus units per thousand inhabitants
Figure 3.28. Bus fleet in terms of age structure, as of Jan. 1, 2013, thousand units, %
Figure 3.29. Bus fleet by brand structure, as of Jan. 1, 2013, thousand units, %
Figure 3.30. Bus fleet dynamics in terms of origin, 2010-2018, thousand units, %
Figure 4.1. Oil consumption by transportation vehicles by federal districts and segmentation by types of
oils in 2012, tons, %
Figure 4.2. RF constituent entities with large shares of gear oil consumption by passenger cars (top 20),
end of 2012, tons
Figure 4.3. Oil consumption by passenger cars in terms of federal districts in 2012, tons, %
Figure 4.4. Production dynamics of passenger cars in Russia in 2010-2018, million units
Figure 4.5. Shares of various auto manufacturers in total production of passenger cars in Russia in 2012,
thousand, units, %
Figure 4.6. Factory fill consumption dynamics by passenger cars in 2010-2018, tons
Figure 4.7. Dynamics of total gear oil consumption by passenger cars in 2010-2018, tons, %
Figure 5.1. Oil consumption by light commercial vehicles in terms of federal districts and segmentation
by types of oils in 2012, tons, %
Figure 5.2. RF constituent entities with the largest amounts of gear oil consumption by light commercial
vehicles (top 20), end of 2012, tons
Figure 5.3. Consumption of oils by light commercial vehicles in terms of federal districts in 2012,
thousand tons, %
Figure 5.4. Forecast of LCV production in Russia in 2010-2018, thousand units
Figure 5.5. Shares of various manufacturers in the total scope of light commercial vehicles in Russia in
2012, units, %
Figure 5.6. Forecast for factory fill LCV consumption in 2010-2018, tons
Figure 5.7. Total consumption dynamics for gear oils by light commercial vehicles in 2010-2018, tons
Figure 5.8. Oil consumption by trucks in terms of federal districts and breakdown by types of oil in 2012,
tons, %
Figure 5.9. RF constituent entities with the largest amounts of gear oils consumed by CVs and HCVs (top
20), end of 2012, tons
Figure 5.10. Oil consumption by CVs and HCVs by federal districts in 2012, thousand tons, %
Figure 5.11. Production dynamics of CVs and LCVs in Russia in 2010-2018, thousand units
Figure 5.12. Shares of various producers in the total volume of CVs and HCVs manufactured in Russia in
2012, units, %
Figure 5.13. Forecast for CV and LCV factory fill consumption in 2010-2018, tons
Figure 5.14. Total gear oil consumption dynamics for CVs and HCVs in 2010-2018, tons
Figure 6.1. Gear oil consumption by buses in terms of federal districts and segments by types of oils in
2012, tons, %
Figure 6.2. RF constituent entities with the largest volumes of gear oil consumption by buses (top 20),
end of 2011, tons
Figure 6.3. Bus oil consumption by federal districts in 2012, thousand tons, %
Figure 6.4. Bus production dynamics in Russia in 2010-2018, thousand units
Figure 6.5. Shares of various manufacturers in total Russian bus production in 2012, units, %
Figure 6.6. Factory fill dynamics of oil consumption by buses in 2010-2018, tons
Figure 6.7. Dynamics of total gear oil consumption by buses in 2010-2018, tons
Figure 7.1. Gear oil consumption by types of transportation vehicles, 2012, tons, %
Figure 7.2. Gear oil consumption by transportation vehicles in federal districts, 2010, tons, %
Figure 7.3. Consumption of gear oils by owners of vehicle fleet by federal districts, 2012, tons per
thousand population
Figure 7.4. Consumption volumes of different types of gear oils by various types of vehicles of the
current fleet in 2012, tons
Figure 7.5. Breakdown of gear oils by various types of vehicles in 2012, %
Figure 7.6. Total consumption dynamics for gear oils by transportation vehicles in 2010-2018, tons
Table 3.1. Passenger car fleet in terms of age of vehicles and origin, units as of Jan.1, 2013, %
Table 3.2. Fleet of passenger vehicles by brand structure, units, as of Jan.1, 2013, %
Table 3.3 Largest global markets for sales of new passenger cars as of end 2010/2011 and 2011/2012,
units of vehicles
Table 3.4. Forecast for passenger car fleet in Russia in terms of origin, thousand units, 2010-2018.
Table 3.5. Fleet of light commercial vehicles by age of vehicles and origin, units as of Jan.1, 2013,
Russia, %
Table 3.6. Fleet of light commercial vehicles per brand structure, units per Jan.1, 2013
Table 3.8. Dynamics of LCV fleet by origin, thousand units, 2010-2018
Table 3.9. Truck fleet by age of vehicles and origin, units as of Jan.1, 2013, %
Table 3.10. Truck fleet by brand structure, units, as of Jan.1, 2013, %
Table 3.11. Truck fleet dynamics in terms of origin, thousand units, 2020-2018
Table 3.12. Bus fleet by age and origin of buses, units, as of Jan. 1, 2013, %
Table 3.13. Bus fleet in terms of brand structure, units, as of Jan. 1, 2013, %
Table 3.14. Bus fleet dynamics in terms of origin, units, 2010-2018
Table 4.1. Passenger vehicle fleet and gear oil consumption by regions and segments in 2012, thousand
units, tons
Table 5.1. Fleet of light commercial vehicles and consumption of gear oils by regions and segments in
2012, thousand units, tons
Table 5.2. Gear oil consumption by the CV and HCV fleet by regions and segments in 2012, thousand
units, tons
Table 6.1. Bus fleet and its consumption of gear oils by regions and segments in Russia in 2012, thousand
units, tons
Table 7.1. Regional distribution of main production enterprises of the automotive industry, Russia, 2013
Table 7.2. Gear oil consumption by the current fleet of transportation vehicles, Russia, 2012, tons,
kg/vehicle
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